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In the America's new game, charismatic leadership, organizing ability, willingness to sacrifice and fighting power no longer are useful alone. Instead, popular support, social and political acceptability and transparency in relations are elements that maintain an "undesirable alternative" which is loyal to rules of the new game. This is the only solution for the Mek to convert from part of the problem to part of the solution.

Iran Didban

For many years, the MeK leadership due to two main parameters has counted on the foreign element in order to military overthrow of the Islamic Republic. These elements are lack of social base and inability to confrontation with the IR.

 

The irreversible defeat of the MeK's military line, because of its anti-people and anti-revolutionary nature, and, yet, insisting on continuation of that, a factor which necessitated association with Saddam; desire for America and Israel attack on Iran; years of investment for getting out of the U.S. terrorist list; and significant opening of Washington Office in its new era, are obvious reasons for this situation.

 

Starting of "battle of alternatives" by the MeK and their entry into this field with capital of "organization" and "armed Forces", whether by West's desirable force from inside or through other pretender forces from outside, only meant meeting the requirements of foreign powers (America) who have struggled to overthrow the Iranian government.

 

Bijan Niabati, a radical supporter of the MeK, has inserted a blog post about future prospect of this cult that is largely consistent with reality and has provided a solution for Rajavi's gang to avoid collapse. In what follows, we present a summary of his analysis:

 

When Obama came to office, the White House strategy shifted. In the new guideline, "desirable alternative" either should come from within the government (like the green movement or the Arab spring) or should possess mass legitimacy and partial support from within the opposition.

 

Consequences of this new strategy, more than anyone else, will affect on the MeK. Mujahedeen not only don't have desirable features of the U.S., but, essentially, by insisting on necessity of violent overthrow of the whole of the Government, are Bête noire of democratic opposition groups. From this point, the U.S Long-term plan to soft eradication of the MeK organization is drafted.

 

The U.S. government directly backed two bloody attacks on Camp Ashraf on July 29, 2009 and on March 30, 2011; both of them had taken place when the then U.S. Secretary of Defense was in Iraq. Failure of this plan forces Obama administration to, along with Strategy of "soft overthrow" the Islamic Republic, take on the policy of "soft eradication" of the MeK organization.

 

In the America's new game, charismatic leadership, organizing ability, willingness to sacrifice and fighting power no longer are useful alone. Instead, popular support, social and political acceptability and transparency in relations are elements that maintain an "undesirable alternative" which is loyal to rules of the new game. This is the only solution for the Mek to convert from part of the problem to part of the solution.

 

However, the MeK neither wants nor it can simply accept a fundamental shift in its strategy and tactics. The pressure on their structural and political entirety is so exhausting that makes it impossible any fundamental change; especially when it refers to the ideological structure and leadership of the group. Those changes immediately will affect on all of the MeK's internal and external relations and its consequences will be much worse. However, the MeK, if wants to keep survive, has no choice except fundamental changes in its strategies and tactics, attitudes and relationships.

 

To be continued.

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