Diplomats and two US officials said the latest review was prompted by the conclusion reached by Condoleezza Rice, secretary of state, and others that an effective sanctions option did not exist, and that they had been misled by the predictions of neoconservatives who saw the Iranian regime ripe for overthrow by a restless populace
In an article published in Financial Times on October 26, Guy Dinmore discussed MKO activities and its supporters lobby in the US. Referring to the records of the group, Times wrote: “Known by its acronyms MKO and MEK, the group led by Mrs Rajavi and her husband Massoud, was outlawed by the US for its killing of Americans before the 1979 Iranian revolution; alleged collaboration with Saddam Hussein's genocidal campaigns against Iraqi Kurds; and attacks on civilians inside Iran.”
Then, pointing to MKO lobby efforts, the author says: “The MKO denies the charges of terrorism, saying it was banned by then-president Bill Clinton in an attempt to engage the Iranian government.”
He immediately refers to the views of experts and shows how hollow are the claims of Mojahedin-e khalq: “Despite its attraction to the US - and particularly to some Pentagon planners - as an armed force inside Iraq ready in opposition, analysts in Washington doubt the group will regain legitimacy.”
However, he doesn’t ignore this fact that some, even in Bush administration, try to support this group: “Nonetheless, its lobbying reflects the ferment inside the Bush administration as it grapples with producing a coherent policy towards Iran, working out - in the words of one European diplomat - whether to "engage, isolate or disrupt".”
Dinmore goes on as follows:
“Stephen Hadley, national security adviser, commissioned 10 briefing papers exploring various options. A National Security Council meeting was cancelled this month after one of the papers, which proposed expanding diplomatic contacts with Iran, was leaked to the Wall Street Journal. Some officials suspect that someone senior wanted to sabotage the idea.
Diplomats and two US officials said the latest review was prompted by the conclusion reached by Condoleezza Rice, secretary of state, and others that an effective sanctions option did not exist, and that they had been misled by the predictions of neoconservatives who saw the Iranian regime ripe for overthrow by a restless populace.
Recent statements by Ms Rice point to an effort to broaden diplomatic contacts with Iran.
Diplomats also say there is a new effort to find a settlement, negotiated through European allies, to the standoff over Iran's nuclear programme.”
The above analysis tries to convey this fact that disinformation on Iran has confused the Bush administration. At the top of this disinformation is neo-conservatives’ predictions on Iran being at the threshold of overthrowing.
That Republicans-like Mojahedin- predict that Iranian government would be toppled in a month or two shows that they’re following their ambitions. Mojahedin also suffered the same illness and, in 80s, used to report about the “regime that would be toppled in a few days”! However, the time passed and MKO leaders faced tough reality, in contradiction with their claims. Therefore, the runaway leader withdrew his claims and in meetings with senior members set an unknown date for “overthrowing the regime”!
It’s really strange that Republicans are following what the group used to do in 80s and it’s strange that they don’t want to accept the realities of the Iranian society.
But relying on the view of Iran experts, the US government and particularly the State Department are aware that how hollow such claims are. It seems that recent position taken by the US administration in past few days is also based on more balanced policy toward Iran, rejecting naïve predictions.
What’s more important is the message of US policy to the group, that they will remain in the terror list and that resorting to the people, now being questioned in the US itself, will have no benefits for this terrorist group.
* Iran opposition group seeks US legitimacy, Financial Times/October 26 2005/Guy Dinmore in Washington DC
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